Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 19:45
13.4327.9%
X3.4427.8%
22.1644.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Udinese
WWDLDDLDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Milan
WWLDWDLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.00
Against
6.60
10.80
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Udinese attack
1.80goals per matchMilan conceded1.40Matchup
Milan attack
1.20goals per matchUdinese conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.60
10.80
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
25.60
Match total
26.00
Shots
17.20N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.10
On target
5.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches361
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%25.5%-2.4 pp
Draw27.8%25.5%-2.3 pp
Away44.3%49.0%+4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
1.05–1.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.5%
1-111.9%
0-110.8%
1-09.4%
0-27.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.59–5.08
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=361.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches115
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%16.7%–32.0% CI
Draw FT38.3%29.9%–47.4% CI
Away FT38.3%29.9%–47.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals47.0%
3+ goals21.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.6%
Away62.6%