Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 19:45
13.4327.9%
X3.4427.8%
22.1644.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
WWDLDDLDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Milan
WWLDWDLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.00
Against
6.60
10.80
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.80goals per match
Milan conceded1.40
Matchup

Milan attack

1.20goals per match
Udinese conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.60
10.80
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
5.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
25.60
Match total
26.00

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.10
On target
5.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches361
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%25.5%-2.4 pp
Draw27.8%25.5%-2.3 pp
Away44.3%49.0%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

1.051.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
1-111.9%
0-110.8%
1-09.4%
0-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.595.08
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=361.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches115
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%16.7%–32.0% CI
Draw FT38.3%29.9%–47.4% CI
Away FT38.3%29.9%–47.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals47.0%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.6%
Away62.6%