Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 17:00
13.4327.9%
X3.2729.2%
22.2342.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
LWWDLDLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Bologna
DLLWLLWWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.80
Against
4.10
8.30
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded2.00
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.30goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.10
8.30
Match total
8.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.90
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
2.90
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches343
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%25.9%-1.9 pp
Draw29.2%30.0%+0.8 pp
Away42.9%44.0%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

0.961.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-112.8%
0-012.2%
1-09.6%
0-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.405.07
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=343.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches110
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%12.1%–26.4% CI
Draw FT50.9%41.7%–60.1% CI
Away FT30.9%23.0%–40.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.8%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.7%
Away48.2%