Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 14:00
11.8452.0%
X3.6226.4%
24.4521.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
WWLWWDDDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Cremonese
DDDDLLDLDL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.10
9.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.60goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.90
Matchup

Cremonese attack

1.10goals per match
Monza conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.10
9.60
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.70
Match total
22.80

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.10
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches273
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.0%54.2%+2.2 pp
Draw26.4%28.2%+1.8 pp
Away21.5%17.6%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.610.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
2-011.7%
1-111.4%
2-110.3%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.10
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=273.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.524.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.9%32.0%–52.4% CI
Draw FT39.5%29.9%–50.1% CI
Away FT18.6%11.8%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.3%
Away37.2%