Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-17 · 17:30
11.7554.6%
X3.8724.7%
24.6220.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LWLWDLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Spezia
LLLLLWWLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.70
Against
4.90
7.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.50goals per match
Spezia conceded1.70
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.80goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.90
7.90
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.10
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
24.80
Match total
24.20

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.80
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches261
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%59.4%+4.8 pp
Draw24.7%23.0%-1.7 pp
Away20.7%17.6%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS59.4%

Historical average

1.981.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.3%
1-111.5%
2-010.7%
1-08.4%
2-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.074.01
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=261.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.5%36.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT30.3%20.6%–42.2% CI
Away FT21.2%13.1%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.97

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.4%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals31.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.3%
Away54.5%