Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-13 · 19:45
11.2675.7%
X5.9016.2%
211.748.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WLWWWWDLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Salernitana
DLLWLLLWLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.90
2.10
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Against
4.50
8.70
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.50
3.50
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

2.10goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.50
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.00goals per match
Milan conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.50
8.70
Match total
7.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.80
Match total
4.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.60
Match total
24.30

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.10
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.7%76.3%+0.6 pp
Draw16.2%18.4%+2.3 pp
Away8.1%5.3%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.160.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.4%
3-015.8%
3-113.2%
1-110.5%
2-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.212.97
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.7%
Away26.7%