Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 19:45
11.3570.8%
X4.8819.6%
29.979.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
DWWWWWDLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sampdoria
LDWLLWLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.30goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.50
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.70goals per match
Juventus conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Match total
6.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
23.70
Match total
29.40

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.10
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%61.9%-8.9 pp
Draw19.6%19.0%-0.5 pp
Away9.6%19.0%+9.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS38.1%

Historical average

1.860.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.3%
2-014.3%
3-09.5%
0-19.5%
4-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.332.90
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.523.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away27.3%