Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 17:00
11.6956.5%
X3.7325.6%
25.3217.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
LWLLDWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Sassuolo
WLLLLLDWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.70
10%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.50
0.60
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.70
9.10
Total
10.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
1.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
1.00goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.70Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.20goals per matchRoma conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.70
9.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.10
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
26.20
Match total
21.20
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches376
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.5%56.4%-0.1 pp
Draw25.6%25.0%-0.6 pp
Away17.9%18.6%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
1.68–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.6%
1-112.2%
2-111.2%
2-010.1%
0-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.97–3.80
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=376.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%38.3%–56.0% CI
Draw FT37.0%28.8%–45.9% CI
Away FT16.0%10.5%–23.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals45.4%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.9%
Away37.8%