Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
14.3422.1%
X3.6226.5%
21.8651.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cremonese
LLLDDLLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Fiorentina
LLDWWLLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.10
1.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.10
Against
4.00
9.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cremonese attack

0.60goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.10goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.00
9.40
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.30
Match total
5.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
24.10
Match total
26.90

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.00
On target
4.40
5%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.1%20.3%-1.8 pp
Draw26.5%20.3%-6.2 pp
Away51.5%59.5%+8.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS40.5%

Historical average

0.801.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-216.2%
0-112.8%
1-012.2%
1-110.1%
1-210.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.165.36
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.523.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%10.9%–33.8% CI
Draw FT26.7%16.0%–41.0% CI
Away FT53.3%39.1%–67.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals24.4%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.1%
Away57.8%