Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 11:30
12.9832.1%
X2.9932.0%
22.6735.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDDLWWDLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Torino
LLWLDDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
0.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.60
Against
4.90
10.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.10goals per match
Torino conceded1.60
Matchup

Torino attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.90
10.10
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
28.20
Match total
25.30

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
2.40
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%28.8%-3.3 pp
Draw32.0%35.3%+3.2 pp
Away35.9%35.9%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.513.5%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

0.961.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
0-012.8%
1-010.9%
0-110.9%
1-210.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.074.44
Average total8.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.1%
Over 9.537.8%
Over 10.527.6%
Over 11.519.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.9%22.1%–43.6% CI
Draw FT44.9%33.8%–56.6% CI
Away FT23.2%14.8%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.3%
Away42.0%