Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 19:45
13.0831.1%
X3.1930.0%
22.4638.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
LDWWWLDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lazio
WWWWLLWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.80
0.70
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
5.50
7.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded
0.60
2.00
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.30goals per match
Lazio conceded0.60
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.80goals per match
Bologna conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.50
7.80
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
27.20
Match total
24.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.30
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches319
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%31.0%-0.0 pp
Draw30.0%28.5%-1.5 pp
Away38.9%40.4%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.121.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-111.6%
0-09.4%
1-09.4%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.584.81
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=319.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.5%17.0%–33.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%33.5%–52.7% CI
Away FT32.7%24.2%–42.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.9%
Away49.0%