Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 17:00
11.6757.3%
X4.0423.7%
25.0519.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Napoli
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Atalanta
WDWLDWDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
4.50
10.70
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Napoli attack
2.60goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.30Matchup
Atalanta attack
1.50goals per matchNapoli conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.50
10.70
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.40
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.30N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
19.70
Match total
23.80
Shots
17.80N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.70
On target
3.80
15%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches216
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.3%58.3%+1.0 pp
Draw23.7%19.9%-3.8 pp
Away19.0%21.8%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.78–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.9%
0-19.7%
1-09.7%
2-09.3%
3-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–3.95
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=216.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.9%32.6%–55.9% CI
Draw FT25.8%16.7%–37.4% CI
Away FT30.3%20.6%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals19.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away50.0%