Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 17:00
11.6757.3%
X4.0423.7%
25.0519.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Atalanta
WDWLDWDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
4.50
10.70
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.60goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.30
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.50goals per match
Napoli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.50
10.70
Match total
8.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.40
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
19.70
Match total
23.80

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.70
On target
3.80
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches216
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.3%58.3%+1.0 pp
Draw23.7%19.9%-3.8 pp
Away19.0%21.8%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.780.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.9%
0-19.7%
1-09.7%
2-09.3%
3-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.053.95
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=216.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.9%32.6%–55.9% CI
Draw FT25.8%16.7%–37.4% CI
Away FT30.3%20.6%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away50.0%