Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-10 · 19:45
17.7012.4%
X4.7220.3%
21.4267.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
WDLDDDLLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Inter
LLWWLWDWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.90
Against
3.20
10.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.80goals per match
Inter conceded1.80
Matchup

Inter attack

1.60goals per match
Spezia conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.20
10.30
Match total
9.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
25.70
Match total
25.40

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
4.00
On target
4.80
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.4%6.5%-5.9 pp
Draw20.3%18.5%-1.8 pp
Away67.3%75.0%+7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

0.602.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.6%
1-215.2%
0-214.1%
1-112.0%
0-37.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.176.13
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.521.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Draw FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Away FT64.3%45.8%–79.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.3%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals32.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away82.1%