Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-10 · 19:45
17.7012.4%
X4.7220.3%
21.4267.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
WDLDDDLLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Inter
LLWWLWDWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.90
Against
3.20
10.30
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
0.80goals per matchInter conceded1.80Matchup
Inter attack
1.60goals per matchSpezia conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.20
10.30
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
25.70
Match total
25.40
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
4.00
On target
4.80
6%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.4%6.5%-5.9 pp
Draw20.3%18.5%-1.8 pp
Away67.3%75.0%+7.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
0.60–2.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-119.6%
1-215.2%
0-214.1%
1-112.0%
0-37.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.17–6.13
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.521.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Draw FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Away FT64.3%45.8%–79.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.89
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.3%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals32.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home39.3%
Away82.1%