Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-06 · 17:30
11.8352.3%
X3.7025.8%
24.3721.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sassuolo
DLWLWDLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Cremonese
LDDDDLLDLD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.20
Against
4.30
8.30
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.20goals per matchCremonese conceded1.90Matchup
Cremonese attack
1.00goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.30
8.30
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.50
Match total
22.80
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.40
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches206
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.3%51.0%-1.3 pp
Draw25.8%31.1%+5.2 pp
Away21.9%18.0%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS49.5%
Historical average
1.63–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
1-011.7%
2-011.2%
0-010.2%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.63–4.23
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=206.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.7%28.9%–51.6% CI
Draw FT42.6%31.6%–54.5% CI
Away FT17.6%10.4%–28.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals10.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.4%
Away32.4%