Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 17:00
11.3670.2%
X4.8919.5%
29.2910.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WLWWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Lecce
LWLLDWDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.60
Against
6.20
8.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.90goals per match
Lecce conceded1.00
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.00goals per match
Inter conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.20
8.10
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.00
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.70
Match total
26.00

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.20
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%68.1%-2.1 pp
Draw19.5%17.0%-2.5 pp
Away10.3%14.9%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS34.0%

Historical average

1.830.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.0%
1-014.9%
3-012.8%
2-110.6%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.942.96
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away28.6%