Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
12.3141.4%
X3.2729.3%
23.2729.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
DLLLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Salernitana
DDLLWLLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.30
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
2.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.90
1.10
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.80
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
2.60
1.90
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.30goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.60
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.10goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
7.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
28.90
Match total
23.30

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
2.20
On target
3.10
3%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches847
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.4%41.3%-0.1 pp
Draw29.3%30.6%+1.3 pp
Away29.3%28.1%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS49.9%

Historical average

1.281.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-012.4%
2-19.8%
0-09.6%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.41
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=846.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches287
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.4%27.3%–38.0% CI
Draw FT41.1%35.6%–46.9% CI
Away FT26.5%21.7%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away44.3%