Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
12.3141.4%
X3.2729.3%
23.2729.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
DLLLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Salernitana
DDLLWLLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.30
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
2.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.90
1.10
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.80
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
2.60
1.90
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
0.30goals per matchSalernitana conceded2.60Matchup
Salernitana attack
1.10goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
28.90
Match total
23.30
Shots
9.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
2.20
On target
3.10
3%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches847
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.4%41.3%-0.1 pp
Draw29.3%30.6%+1.3 pp
Away29.3%28.1%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS49.9%
Historical average
1.28–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.3%
1-012.4%
2-19.8%
0-09.6%
0-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.41
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=846.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches287
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.4%27.3%–38.0% CI
Draw FT41.1%35.6%–46.9% CI
Away FT26.5%21.7%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.9%
Away44.3%