Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 11:30
12.7335.0%
X3.0831.1%
22.8233.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
DWDLDDDLLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Verona
DLLLLLDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.50
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
1.00goals per matchVerona conceded1.50Matchup
Verona attack
0.50goals per matchSpezia conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
26.10
Match total
26.10
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.10
On target
2.00
8%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%31.9%-3.2 pp
Draw31.1%36.1%+5.0 pp
Away33.9%32.1%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.14–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
0-012.5%
0-110.4%
1-09.9%
1-28.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.90–4.71
Average total9.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=526.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.4%22.6%–34.9% CI
Draw FT46.3%39.5%–53.2% CI
Away FT25.4%19.9%–31.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals10.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.8%
Away43.8%