Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 11:30
12.7335.0%
X3.0831.1%
22.8233.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DWDLDDDLLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Verona
DLLLLLDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.50
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.00goals per match
Verona conceded1.50
Matchup

Verona attack

0.50goals per match
Spezia conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
10.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
26.10
Match total
26.10

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.10
On target
2.00
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%31.9%-3.2 pp
Draw31.1%36.1%+5.0 pp
Away33.9%32.1%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.141.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
0-012.5%
0-110.4%
1-09.9%
1-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.904.71
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=526.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.4%22.6%–34.9% CI
Draw FT46.3%39.5%–53.2% CI
Away FT25.4%19.9%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.8%
Away43.8%