Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 14:00
12.1145.4%
X3.2429.6%
23.8425.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
LWWLWWDDDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Empoli
DWDLLDDWLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
6.80
10.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.40goals per match
Empoli conceded1.50
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.90goals per match
Monza conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.80
10.00
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.10
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.40
Match total
25.50

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.10
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches203
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%48.3%+2.8 pp
Draw29.6%28.1%-1.5 pp
Away25.0%23.6%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.550.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-012.8%
0-09.9%
1-09.4%
2-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.414.44
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=203.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.7%28.9%–51.6% CI
Draw FT44.1%32.9%–55.9% CI
Away FT16.2%9.3%–26.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away36.8%