Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 19:45
11.6657.9%
X3.9124.6%
25.4917.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Lazio
DWWWWLLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.50
Against
5.20
10.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
0.70
3.50
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.70goals per match
Lazio conceded0.70
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.80goals per match
Napoli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.20
10.60
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

7.10N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
18.00
Match total
23.90

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
7.20
On target
4.30
15%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.9%62.1%+4.2 pp
Draw24.6%19.8%-4.8 pp
Away17.5%18.1%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.770.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.9%
1-012.5%
2-011.7%
1-18.5%
0-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.73
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.8%34.8%–57.3% CI
Draw FT34.7%24.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT19.4%12.0%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away36.1%