Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-27 · 17:30
13.2729.2%
X3.2929.0%
22.2941.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Verona
WLLLLLWWDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Fiorentina
LLLDWWLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.70
Against
3.90
9.50
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Verona attack
1.20goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.20Matchup
Fiorentina attack
0.80goals per matchVerona conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.90
9.50
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
26.50
Match total
26.50
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.20
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches437
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.2%28.1%-1.1 pp
Draw29.0%27.7%-1.4 pp
Away41.7%44.2%+2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS44.9%
Historical average
0.99–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
0-113.3%
1-011.4%
0-08.9%
0-28.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.70–4.97
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=437.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%18.6%–32.7% CI
Draw FT41.0%33.3%–49.1% CI
Away FT34.0%26.8%–42.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.4%
Away50.7%