Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 19:45
12.1943.7%
X3.3828.3%
23.4228.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WWLWWWWDLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Atalanta
WWDWLDWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.30
Against
4.50
8.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.50
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

2.10goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.50
8.60
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.60
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
24.60
Match total
23.50

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.50
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches504
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%45.4%+1.7 pp
Draw28.3%30.0%+1.6 pp
Away28.0%24.6%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS54.6%

Historical average

1.581.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-09.5%
2-19.1%
0-07.9%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.32
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=504.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches148
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.1%26.0%–41.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%33.6%–49.3% CI
Away FT25.7%19.3%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.7%
Away47.3%