Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 14:00
13.5327.1%
X3.4128.0%
22.1344.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Salernitana
DLWWDLDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Monza
LDWLLLDWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.20
Against
5.10
9.20
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Salernitana attack
1.00goals per matchMonza conceded1.30Matchup
Monza attack
1.20goals per matchSalernitana conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.10
9.20
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.70
Match total
28.70
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
2.80
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches288
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.1%21.9%-5.2 pp
Draw28.0%27.1%-1.0 pp
Away44.9%51.0%+6.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.00–1.51
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.5%
1-213.2%
1-111.5%
0-09.4%
1-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.65–5.11
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=288.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.530.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%12.1%–28.7% CI
Draw FT42.9%32.8%–53.5% CI
Away FT38.1%28.4%–48.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.7%
Away57.1%