Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 14:00
13.5327.1%
X3.4128.0%
22.1344.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
DLWWDLDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Monza
LDWLLLDWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.20
Against
5.10
9.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.00goals per match
Monza conceded1.30
Matchup

Monza attack

1.20goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.10
9.20
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.70
Match total
28.70

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
2.80
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches288
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.1%21.9%-5.2 pp
Draw28.0%27.1%-1.0 pp
Away44.9%51.0%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.001.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.5%
1-213.2%
1-111.5%
0-09.4%
1-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.11
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=288.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%12.1%–28.7% CI
Draw FT42.9%32.8%–53.5% CI
Away FT38.1%28.4%–48.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away57.1%