Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 11:30
14.9619.3%
X3.7725.4%
21.7355.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WLDWWWLDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Inter
LLLWWLWDWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.00
Against
3.30
8.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
2.20
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Inter conceded2.00
Matchup

Inter attack

1.70goals per match
Bologna conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.30
8.50
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.20
Match total
25.00

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
16.70N=10
4.20
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.3%17.7%-1.6 pp
Draw25.4%22.8%-2.6 pp
Away55.3%59.5%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.831.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
0-215.2%
0-113.3%
1-27.6%
0-37.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.845.70
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%17.5%–41.7% CI
Draw FT24.0%14.3%–37.4% CI
Away FT48.0%34.8%–61.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away70.0%