Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 11:30
14.9619.3%
X3.7725.4%
21.7355.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
WLDWWWLDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Inter
LLLWWLWDWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.00
Against
3.30
8.50
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
2.20
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
1.40goals per matchInter conceded2.00Matchup
Inter attack
1.70goals per matchBologna conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.30
8.50
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.20
Match total
25.00
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
16.70N=10
4.20
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.3%17.7%-1.6 pp
Draw25.4%22.8%-2.6 pp
Away55.3%59.5%+4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
0.83–1.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
0-215.2%
0-113.3%
1-27.6%
0-37.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.84–5.70
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.525.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%17.5%–41.7% CI
Draw FT24.0%14.3%–37.4% CI
Away FT48.0%34.8%–61.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.0%
Away70.0%