Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 19:45
12.5437.6%
X3.1830.1%
22.9632.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDDDLWWDLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Sassuolo
DWLLLLLDWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
0.70
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.20goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.70
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.30
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
27.30
Match total
21.00

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
2.90
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches491
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%33.4%-4.2 pp
Draw30.1%34.2%+4.2 pp
Away32.3%32.4%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.221.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
0-110.4%
1-09.6%
0-09.6%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.58
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=490.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.1%18.1%–31.2% CI
Draw FT49.4%41.8%–57.0% CI
Away FT26.5%20.3%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.5%
Away48.1%