Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 17:00
16.8613.9%
X4.7220.2%
21.4565.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
DLLWLWWWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Napoli
WWWWWLWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.10
Against
4.20
10.90
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
0.50
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.20goals per match
Napoli conceded0.50
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.00goals per match
Empoli conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.20
10.90
Match total
8.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.90
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.00
Match total
25.80

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
4.30
On target
5.40
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%11.7%-2.2 pp
Draw20.2%18.2%-2.0 pp
Away65.9%70.1%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

0.942.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.2%
0-116.9%
1-49.1%
1-17.8%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.776.10
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Away FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away80.0%