Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 19:45
11.6358.5%
X3.7225.6%
26.0215.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWLWLLDWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Verona
DDLLLLLDLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
0.50
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
0.70
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.00
Against
5.90
9.70
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
1.70
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.20goals per match
Verona conceded1.50
Matchup

Verona attack

0.60goals per match
Roma conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.90
9.70
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.90
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
24.50
Match total
25.10

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.00
On target
2.20
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches121
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.5%56.2%-2.3 pp
Draw25.6%27.3%+1.6 pp
Away15.8%16.5%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.600.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.9%
1-013.2%
1-112.4%
2-09.1%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.493.78
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=121.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%35.5%–64.5% CI
Draw FT35.7%23.0%–50.8% CI
Away FT14.3%6.7%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away33.3%