Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 17:00
15.8116.5%
X3.9224.4%
21.6259.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DDWDLDDDLL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Juventus
DDLLWWWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.80
Against
5.30
9.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.20goals per match
Juventus conceded0.90
Matchup

Juventus attack

0.90goals per match
Spezia conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.30
9.50
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
27.10
Match total
23.30

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.60
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.5%15.7%-0.8 pp
Draw24.4%21.6%-2.9 pp
Away59.1%62.7%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

0.861.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.6%
0-115.7%
1-311.8%
0-29.8%
0-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.826.16
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.5%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away60.0%