Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 14:00
15.1418.6%
X3.9024.5%
21.6856.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
WDLWWDLDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lazio
DDWWWWLLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.60
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.40goals per match
Lazio conceded0.70
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.60
9.00
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
24.30
Match total
24.50

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.20
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.6%15.3%-3.3 pp
Draw24.5%22.9%-1.6 pp
Away56.9%61.9%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

0.871.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.1%
1-212.7%
1-112.7%
0-28.5%
1-37.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.775.91
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI
Draw FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Away FT48.4%32.0%–65.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.7%
Away61.3%