Serie A · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 14:00
11.6259.0%
X4.0723.5%
25.4417.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
DDWLLWDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Empoli
DDWDLLDDWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.50
Against
5.80
8.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.20goals per match
Empoli conceded1.50
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.80
8.30
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.10
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
27.60
Match total
24.70

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.50
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches194
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.0%59.3%+0.3 pp
Draw23.5%22.7%-0.8 pp
Away17.6%18.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.990.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.9%
1-111.9%
2-09.3%
3-17.7%
1-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.403.90
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=194.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%30.7%–57.7% CI
Draw FT37.5%25.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT18.8%10.2%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals22.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.6%
Away54.2%