Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-22 · 17:00
16.6314.5%
X4.8719.7%
21.4665.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
WLDLDWWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Milan
DWWWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
0.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.20
Against
4.60
11.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
0.80
3.40
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.70goals per match
Milan conceded0.80
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.60
11.50
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.10
Match total
26.00

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
5.90
On target
5.60
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.5%8.8%-5.7 pp
Draw19.7%17.6%-2.1 pp
Away65.8%73.5%+7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.544.1%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

0.742.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-320.6%
0-311.8%
1-111.8%
1-28.8%
0-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.795.88
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away85.7%