Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-21 · 19:45
11.2278.3%
X7.2213.2%
211.298.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LDLDWDLLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Empoli
DDDDLDLLLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.30
Against
6.00
10.00
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.40goals per match
Empoli conceded1.70
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.30
Corners against
6.00
10.00
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.40
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.80
Match total
26.70

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.60
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.3%81.8%+3.5 pp
Draw13.2%18.2%+4.9 pp
Away8.5%0.0%-8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.590.9%
Over 3.572.7%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

3.270.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-027.3%
2-29.1%
3-09.1%
2-19.1%
5-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.913.82
Average total10.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away40.0%