Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-16 · 17:30
13.9424.3%
X3.7725.4%
21.9050.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LDLLWWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Fiorentina
WDLDWLDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.10
Against
3.60
8.00
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.30goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.70
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.60
8.00
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
28.80
Match total
27.70

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.80
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.3%20.4%-3.9 pp
Draw25.4%18.6%-6.8 pp
Away50.3%61.1%+10.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.051.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.6%
1-19.6%
1-47.2%
1-36.6%
0-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.295.63
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.8%12.9%–34.4% CI
Draw FT38.2%26.5%–51.4% CI
Away FT40.0%28.1%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away63.6%