Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-14 · 17:00
11.8651.6%
X3.8225.1%
24.1123.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
DLWDWDWWLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Spezia
LWWWDLLLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.60
Against
7.20
10.80
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.90goals per match
Spezia conceded1.40
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.90goals per match
Udinese conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.20
10.80
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
29.40
Match total
26.40

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.70
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%49.2%-2.4 pp
Draw25.1%30.6%+5.5 pp
Away23.3%20.2%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.781.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.7%
2-09.7%
3-08.1%
1-07.3%
1-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.56
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%27.9%–57.8% CI
Draw FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT21.1%11.1%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away50.0%