Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-09 · 19:45
12.3940.1%
X3.4128.1%
23.0231.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WDWLWDWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Roma
LWLWDWDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
1.50
Against
4.20
7.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.70goals per match
Roma conceded1.40
Matchup

Roma attack

1.60goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
1.50
Corners against
4.20
7.20
Match total
8.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.80
Match total
5.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
27.80
Match total
26.90

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.60
On target
5.10
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches350
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%42.6%+2.4 pp
Draw28.1%26.9%-1.3 pp
Away31.8%30.6%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

1.531.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
2-19.1%
1-28.9%
2-08.9%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.574.53
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=349.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%26.4%–44.7% CI
Draw FT38.0%29.1%–47.8% CI
Away FT27.0%19.3%–36.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals51.0%
3+ goals21.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away54.0%