Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 19:45
14.4721.5%
X4.0223.9%
21.7654.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Verona
DLDLWWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Milan
WDWWWDWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.80
Against
4.30
10.80
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.70
2.50
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Verona attack
1.50goals per matchMilan conceded0.70Matchup
Milan attack
1.90goals per matchVerona conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.30
10.80
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.70N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.10
Match total
26.50
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
4.60
On target
5.30
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%23.9%+2.4 pp
Draw23.9%21.4%-2.5 pp
Away54.6%54.7%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS54.7%
Historical average
1.01–1.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.0%
1-111.1%
1-210.3%
1-07.7%
0-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.21–5.98
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Draw FT26.3%15.0%–42.0% CI
Away FT42.1%27.9%–57.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.4%
Away57.9%