Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 19:45
14.4721.5%
X4.0223.9%
21.7654.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
DLDLWWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Milan
WDWWWDWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.80
Against
4.30
10.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.70
2.50
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.50goals per match
Milan conceded0.70
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Verona conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.30
10.80
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.10
Match total
26.50

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
4.60
On target
5.30
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%23.9%+2.4 pp
Draw23.9%21.4%-2.5 pp
Away54.6%54.7%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.011.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.0%
1-111.1%
1-210.3%
1-07.7%
0-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.215.98
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Draw FT26.3%15.0%–42.0% CI
Away FT42.1%27.9%–57.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away57.9%