Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 11:30
16.3315.1%
X4.7820.1%
21.4864.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DDLWLLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Atalanta
WWDWDLLWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.80
Against
4.30
9.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.30goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.60goals per match
Spezia conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
100%10/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.30
9.90
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
26.00
Match total
27.90

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.20
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.1%15.6%+0.4 pp
Draw20.1%11.1%-8.9 pp
Away64.8%73.3%+8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS35.6%

Historical average

0.762.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-317.8%
0-213.3%
1-311.1%
0-111.1%
1-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.446.33
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away72.7%