Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-02 · 19:45
11.2775.4%
X6.0115.9%
211.108.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WLDLDWDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Salernitana
LLWLDLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.90
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.10
Against
8.00
9.10
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
3.30
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.70goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.20
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.10
Corners against
8.00
9.10
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.00
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.60
Match total
26.90

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.4%70.6%-4.8 pp
Draw15.9%19.1%+3.2 pp
Away8.6%10.3%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.542.6%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

2.370.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.2%
2-111.8%
1-18.8%
4-08.8%
2-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.822.79
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.9%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away18.2%