Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-01 · 19:45
11.4765.1%
X4.6220.7%
26.7614.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
LWDLWDDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Bologna
WLWLLLDLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.60
Against
5.80
8.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.50goals per match
Bologna conceded1.20
Matchup

Bologna attack

0.90goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.80
8.90
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.60
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.40
Match total
27.50

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.1%78.3%+13.2 pp
Draw20.7%12.3%-8.5 pp
Away14.2%9.4%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.542.5%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

2.420.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.1%
2-014.2%
1-011.3%
3-110.4%
4-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.583.48
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.7%59.1%–88.2% CI
Draw FT10.0%3.5%–25.6% CI
Away FT13.3%5.3%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal96.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.7%
Away40.0%