Serie A · 2021/22
2022-05-01 · 14:00
11.6558.3%
X3.9624.3%
25.5017.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WLWLDWDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Fiorentina
LWDLDWLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
0.50
2H goals
2.20
40%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.20
Against
4.20
8.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
1.60
Total goals
3.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.80
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.40goals per match
Milan conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.20
8.90
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.90
Match total
26.80

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.40
On target
4.10
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches121
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.3%62.8%+4.6 pp
Draw24.3%19.8%-4.4 pp
Away17.5%17.4%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS58.7%

Historical average

2.040.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.2%
1-111.6%
2-010.7%
3-19.9%
1-09.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.553.83
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=121.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.6%43.7%–75.3% CI
Draw FT24.2%12.8%–41.0% CI
Away FT15.2%6.7%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.8%
Away45.5%