Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 19:45
15.0619.0%
X4.0024.0%
21.6857.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
LDDLWLLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Lazio
WLWLWWDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.20
1.20
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.30
1H goals
1.90
1.90
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.90
Against
4.60
9.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.00goals per match
Lazio conceded1.10
Matchup

Lazio attack

2.20goals per match
Spezia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
1.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
100%10/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.60
9.90
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
26.30
Match total
24.00

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.40
On target
4.90
10%
Conversion
22%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.0%21.6%+2.7 pp
Draw24.0%19.6%-4.4 pp
Away57.1%58.8%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

0.991.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.4%
1-38.2%
1-18.2%
2-18.2%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.925.84
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI
Draw FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI
Away FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals32.1%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away60.7%