Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 14:00
11.4765.2%
X4.9319.5%
26.2715.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
LLLWWDLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sassuolo
DDWDLWWDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.10
10.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.30goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.60
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.90goals per match
Napoli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.10
10.90
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.00
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.00
Match total
26.20

Shots

18.40N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
5.70
On target
6.20
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.2%79.2%+13.9 pp
Draw19.5%16.7%-2.8 pp
Away15.3%4.2%-11.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

2.380.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-125.0%
1-016.7%
1-112.5%
5-18.3%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.383.54
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.520.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%31.4%–68.6% CI
Draw FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Away FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.2%
Away41.7%