Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 14:00
11.4765.2%
X4.9319.5%
26.2715.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Napoli
LLLWWDLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sassuolo
DDWDLWWDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.10
10.90
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Napoli attack
1.30goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.60Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.90goals per matchNapoli conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.10
10.90
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.00
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.00
Match total
26.20
Shots
18.40N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
5.70
On target
6.20
7%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.2%79.2%+13.9 pp
Draw19.5%16.7%-2.8 pp
Away15.3%4.2%-11.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS62.5%
Historical average
2.38–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-125.0%
1-016.7%
1-112.5%
5-18.3%
2-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.38–3.54
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.520.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%31.4%–68.6% CI
Draw FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Away FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.2%
Away41.7%