Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 19:45
12.9033.1%
X3.4527.8%
22.4539.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
LDWDDWLWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Milan
LWDWWWDWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.30
Against
4.60
8.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.80goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Matchup

Milan attack

2.00goals per match
Lazio conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.60
8.60
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.80
Match total
25.30

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
4.60
On target
5.20
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches185
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%29.7%-3.3 pp
Draw27.8%30.3%+2.5 pp
Away39.1%40.0%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.231.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-08.6%
1-28.1%
0-18.1%
0-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.885.39
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=185.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.9%22.9%–47.0% CI
Draw FT37.5%26.0%–50.6% CI
Away FT28.6%18.4%–41.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.4%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away57.1%