Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 14:00
15.3817.8%
X4.1823.0%
21.6259.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
DWWLLLDLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Napoli
LDWDWWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
2.20
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.50
Against
3.70
10.00
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
2.20
Goals conceded
1.00
3.80
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.60goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.80goals per match
Empoli conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.70
10.00
Match total
7.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
27.40
Match total
27.30

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.40
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.8%16.4%-1.4 pp
Draw23.0%16.4%-6.6 pp
Away59.2%67.2%+8.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS60.7%

Historical average

0.972.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.8%
1-213.1%
2-19.8%
1-48.2%
0-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.206.28
Average total10.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.536.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away72.7%