Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 14:00
15.3817.8%
X4.1823.0%
21.6259.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Empoli
DWWLLLDLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Napoli
LDWDWWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.80
2.20
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.50
Against
3.70
10.00
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
2.20
Goals conceded
1.00
3.80
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Empoli attack
1.60goals per matchNapoli conceded1.00Matchup
Napoli attack
1.80goals per matchEmpoli conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.70
10.00
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
27.40
Match total
27.30
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.40
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.8%16.4%-1.4 pp
Draw23.0%16.4%-6.6 pp
Away59.2%67.2%+8.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS60.7%
Historical average
0.97–2.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-214.8%
1-213.1%
2-19.8%
1-48.2%
0-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.20–6.28
Average total10.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.536.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.4%
Away72.7%