Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 11:30
15.4517.6%
X3.9924.0%
21.6458.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Salernitana
LLLLLDDDDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Fiorentina
LLWDLDWLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.30
2.10
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.90
Against
4.10
10.50
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
2.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Salernitana attack
0.70goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.70Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.30goals per matchSalernitana conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.10
10.50
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.70
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
28.20
Match total
27.10
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.00
On target
3.90
6%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.6%12.8%-4.8 pp
Draw24.0%30.8%+6.8 pp
Away58.4%56.4%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS51.3%
Historical average
0.77–1.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.9%
1-115.4%
1-37.7%
1-27.7%
0-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.82–6.26
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals6.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home26.7%
Away73.3%