Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 11:30
15.4517.6%
X3.9924.0%
21.6458.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
LLLLLDDDDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Fiorentina
LLWDLDWLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.30
2.10
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.90
Against
4.10
10.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
2.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.70goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.70
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.10
10.50
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.70
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
28.20
Match total
27.10

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.00
On target
3.90
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.6%12.8%-4.8 pp
Draw24.0%30.8%+6.8 pp
Away58.4%56.4%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

0.771.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.9%
1-115.4%
1-37.7%
1-27.7%
0-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.826.26
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away73.3%