Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-18 · 18:00
11.9150.1%
X3.6626.1%
24.0223.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WLLLWWDLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Roma
LWLWLWDWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.30
Against
3.80
10.30
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.30
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Napoli conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.80
10.30
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.00
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
24.00
Match total
26.80

Shots

19.30N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
6.10
On target
5.70
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches304
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%47.7%-2.4 pp
Draw26.1%28.6%+2.5 pp
Away23.8%23.7%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.601.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-09.5%
0-09.2%
2-18.9%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.884.35
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=304.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.3%27.1%–46.5% CI
Draw FT45.1%35.2%–55.3% CI
Away FT18.7%12.0%–27.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away38.5%