Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-15 · 20:00
11.3272.4%
X5.1318.6%
210.718.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
LWLWLDWDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Genoa
DDLLDLDDDL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
0.50
2H goals
1.10
40%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
9.80
Total
8.10
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
1.00goals per matchGenoa conceded1.60Matchup
Genoa attack
0.50goals per matchMilan conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
9.80
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.20
Match total
25.80
Shots
17.90N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.10
On target
2.50
6%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%79.5%+7.1 pp
Draw18.6%10.3%-8.4 pp
Away8.9%10.3%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.535.9%
BTTS41.0%
Historical average
2.36–0.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-020.5%
4-012.8%
2-110.3%
1-010.3%
3-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.31–3.23
Average total10.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals46.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.6%
Away30.8%