Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-10 · 19:45
14.1923.0%
X3.5127.4%
21.9449.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
WWDWWWDLLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Milan
WLWDWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.20
1.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.50
Against
4.60
8.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.80goals per match
Milan conceded1.10
Matchup

Milan attack

2.20goals per match
Torino conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.60
8.40
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
30.10
Match total
26.10

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
4.50
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.0%23.9%+0.9 pp
Draw27.4%23.3%-4.1 pp
Away49.6%52.8%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS42.8%

Historical average

0.901.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.9%
1-111.3%
1-211.3%
1-011.3%
0-210.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.195.25
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.5%14.9%–37.6% CI
Draw FT37.7%25.9%–51.2% CI
Away FT37.7%25.9%–51.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.3%
Away50.9%