Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 14:00
12.0347.3%
X3.5227.3%
23.7725.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
LDWWLLLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Spezia
LLLWWWDLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
2.40
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.80
2.20
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.70
Against
7.30
10.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
2.40
Goals conceded
1.90
4.00
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.60goals per match
Spezia conceded1.90
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.00goals per match
Empoli conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.30
10.20
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.90
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.00
Match total
26.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches271
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.3%42.1%-5.2 pp
Draw27.3%28.0%+0.8 pp
Away25.5%29.9%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.561.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
0-18.9%
1-28.5%
2-17.7%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.44
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=271.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%18.3%–37.7% CI
Draw FT39.7%29.6%–50.8% CI
Away FT33.3%23.9%–44.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away55.1%