Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-04 · 19:45
11.3969.0%
X4.8519.8%
28.5711.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DLWLWLDWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Bologna
LWWLWLLLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
0.50
2H goals
1.60
40%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded1.50
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.00goals per match
Milan conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.20
Match total
28.70

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.80
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.0%62.8%-6.2 pp
Draw19.8%20.5%+0.7 pp
Away11.2%16.7%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.950.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.1%
2-011.5%
1-011.5%
0-19.0%
1-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.093.54
Average total10.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.6%
Over 9.560.3%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.535.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.8%36.0%–78.4% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away35.3%