Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-04 · 17:30
11.8651.5%
X3.4627.7%
24.6020.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
WWDLDLWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Genoa
DDDLLDLDDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Against
5.20
10.10
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.70goals per match
Genoa conceded1.60
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.60goals per match
Verona conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.20
10.10
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
25.00
Match total
25.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.20
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches243
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%52.3%+0.8 pp
Draw27.7%28.8%+1.1 pp
Away20.8%18.9%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.580.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
1-111.5%
2-111.1%
2-09.9%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.404.11
Average total9.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=243.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.9%26.1%–47.0% CI
Draw FT41.0%30.8%–52.1% CI
Away FT23.1%15.1%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away39.7%