Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 17:00
14.1823.0%
X3.6526.3%
21.8950.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LLWLDLLWWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Roma
WLWLWLWDWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.60
Against
3.60
8.80
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.40
Matchup

Roma attack

1.90goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.60
8.80
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Match total
5.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
27.20
Match total
27.20

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
4.40
On target
5.90
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.0%21.0%-2.0 pp
Draw26.3%20.2%-6.1 pp
Away50.8%58.9%+8.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

0.971.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.1%
0-211.3%
1-110.5%
0-19.7%
1-36.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.465.31
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%8.6%–34.4% CI
Draw FT27.3%15.1%–44.2% CI
Away FT54.5%38.0%–70.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.8%
2+ goals51.5%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.4%
Away69.7%